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Table 4 On-the-day poll and Twitter stance predictions with adjustments for the age demography

From: Stance and influence of Twitter users regarding the Brexit referendum

  18–24 25–49 50–64 65+ Prediction
  %Leave   %Leave   %Leave   %Leave %Leave
1.Poll results 0.116 25 0.428 44 0.246 56 0.210 61 50.3
2.Projection to Twitter demo 0.261 25 0.526 44 0.146 56 0.067 61 41.9
3.Twitter actual 0.261 29 0.526 52 0.146 66 0.067 72 49.2
4.Poll adjusted 0.116 29 0.428 52 0.246 66 0.210 72 59.1
5. Discrepancy between projection to Twitter demographics and Twitter actual (rows 2 and 3) 7.3%