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Table 3 Eve-of-vote poll and Twitter stance predictions with adjustments for the age demography

From: Stance and influence of Twitter users regarding the Brexit referendum

  18–24 25–49 50–64 65+ Prediction
  %Leave   %Leave   %Leave   %Leave %Leave
1. Poll results 0.114 20 0.431 45 0.247 56 0.208 60 48.6
2. Projection to Twitter demo 0.261 20 0.526 45 0.146 56 0.067 63 41.3
3. Twitter actual 0.261 25 0.526 56 0.146 70 0.067 78 51.3
4. Poll adjusted 0.114 25 0.431 56 0.247 70 0.208 78 60.4
5. Discrepancy between projection to Twitter demographics and Twitter actual (rows 2 and 3) 10.0%